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Highest temperature in Manila on October 20?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

31°C

last

<1%

31°C · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 29°C or below

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $338 24h · $3,477 vol

    last

    Ask 1.5¢

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  • 30°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,822 vol

    last

    Ask 0.9¢

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  • 31°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,059 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • 32°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $1 24h · $5,464 vol

    last

    Ask 1.9¢

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  • 33°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 20?

    No quote

    Open · $128 24h · $5,382 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 34°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?

    95%

    Open · $23 24h · $8,750 vol

    Bid 90.6¢ · Ask 99.8¢

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  • 35°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 20?

    No quote

    Open · $13 24h · $3,402 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 36°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $21 24h · $1,482 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 37°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on October 20?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $175 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 38°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on October 20?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $115 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 39°C or higher

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on October 20?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $115 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$524
Volume
$35k
Liquidity
$16k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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