Selected outcome
15°C
15°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
14°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on October 21?
<1%
Open · $145 24h · $160 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $180 24h · $195 vol
Ask 0.2¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $177 24h · $390 vol
Ask 1¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $295 24h · $390 vol
last
Ask 1¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $555 24h · $683 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $1,953 24h · $2,723 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.2¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?
5%
Open · $4,853 24h · $6,446 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 6.9¢
21°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 21?
45%
Open · $3,119 24h · $3,841 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 49¢
22°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?
41%
Open · $3,007 24h · $4,157 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
23°CWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 21?
9%
Open · $1,027 24h · $1,332 vol
wide spread 3–13%
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 13.4¢
24°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 21?
2%
Open · $745 24h · $795 vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 2.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.