Selected outcome
74-75°F
last
<1%
74-75°F · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
71°F or belowWill the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on October 22?
No quote
Open · $50 24h · $242 vol
Ask 0.1¢
72-73°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $250 24h · $420 vol
Ask 0.8¢
74-75°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 22?
<1%
Open · $43 24h · $317 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
76-77°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 22?
<1%
Open · $101 24h · $273 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
78-79°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22?
1%
Open · $567 24h · $760 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 1.4¢
80-81°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 22?
14%
Open · $1,225 24h · $1,696 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
82-83°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 22?
52%
Open · $1,318 24h · $1,792 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 53¢
84-85°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 22?
31%
Open · $1,758 24h · $2,514 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 32¢
86-87°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 22?
3%
Open · $484 24h · $810 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 3.9¢
88-89°FWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 22?
<1%
Open · $410 24h · $595 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
90°F or higherWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on October 22?
<1%
Open · $540 24h · $793 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.