← Polymarket

Highest temperature in Milan on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

16°C

<1%

16°C · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 11°C or below

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $1,289 24h · $1,576 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 12°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $1,074 24h · $1,440 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 13°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $696 24h · $1,030 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • 14°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $793 24h · $945 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 15°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $2,263 24h · $2,895 vol

    last

    Ask 1.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • 16°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $4,055 24h · $6,796 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • 17°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 21?

    2%

    Open · $4,185 24h · $5,714 vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 2.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • 18°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 21?

    98%

    Open · $3,021 24h · $4,152 vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 99.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 19°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $2,202 24h · $2,531 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 20°C

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $1,306 24h · $1,665 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • 21°C or higher

    Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $1,713 24h · $1,752 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$23k
Volume
$30k
Liquidity
$11k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

View on Polymarket