← Polymarket

Highest temperature in NYC on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

56-57°F

56-57°F

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 53°F or below

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $763 24h · $975 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 54-55°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $286 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 56-57°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $3,784 24h · $4,428 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 58-59°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $1,484 24h · $2,291 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 60-61°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $4,389 24h · $13k vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • 62-63°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21?

    39%

    Open · $4,948 24h · $6,741 vol

    Bid 37¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • 64-65°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?

    59%

    Open · $4,981 24h · $6,890 vol

    Bid 55¢ · Ask 63¢

    Open full market view →
  • 66-67°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 21?

    3%

    Open · $3,904 24h · $4,780 vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 3.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • 68-69°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $1,352 24h · $1,659 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • 70-71°F

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $938 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 72°F or higher

    Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $150 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$26k
Volume
$42k
Liquidity
$15k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

View on Polymarket