Selected outcome
14°C
5%
14°C · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
10°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $27 vol
Ask 0.1¢
11°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $20 vol
Ask 0.1¢
12°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $516 24h · $536 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.6¢
13°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $620 24h · $740 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 22?
5%
Open · $1,280 24h · $1,300 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?
45%
Open · $2,835 24h · $2,740 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 47¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?
45%
Open · $3,746 24h · $4,240 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 46¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 22?
7%
Open · $2,805 24h · $3,326 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $717 24h · $853 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 0.8¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $686 24h · $709 vol
Ask 0.3¢
20°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on October 22?
<1%
Open · $713 24h · $733 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.