Selected outcome
14°C
1%
14°C · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
11°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 11°C or below on October 22?
1%
Open · $112 24h · $112 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.4¢
12°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 12°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $102 24h · $102 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
13°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 13°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $184 24h · $194 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $117 24h · $248 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.8¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $124 24h · $177 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 1.5¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?
4%
Open · $393 24h · $412 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 5¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 22?
41%
Open · $1,218 24h · $1,755 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 42¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 22?
49%
Open · $659 24h · $678 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 50¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 22?
7%
Open · $426 24h · $498 vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 8.4¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $122 24h · $168 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.7¢
21°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or higher on October 22?
No quote
Open · $75 24h · $95 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.