Selected outcome
70-71°F
<1%
70-71°F · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
55°F or belowWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on October 22?
No quote
Open · $35 24h · $35 vol
Ask 0.1¢
56-57°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 22?
1%
Open · $242 24h · $242 vol
last
Ask 0.7¢
58-59°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on October 22?
<1%
Open · $170 24h · $170 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
60-61°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 22?
1%
Open · $195 24h · $195 vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 1.9¢
62-63°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 22?
15%
Open · $378 24h · $378 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
64-65°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 22?
42%
Open · $2,210 24h · $2,210 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 43¢
66-67°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?
34%
Open · $1,374 24h · $1,374 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 36¢
68-69°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 22?
8%
Open · $384 24h · $384 vol
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 8.8¢
70-71°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 22?
<1%
Open · $213 24h · $213 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
72-73°FWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 22?
<1%
Open · $478 24h · $478 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
74°F or higherWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on October 22?
1%
Open · $207 24h · $207 vol
last
Ask 1.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.