Selected outcome
20°C
<1%
20°C · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
17°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C or below on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,174 24h · $1,469 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.7¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $219 24h · $309 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $205 24h · $395 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $220 24h · $313 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
21°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $365 24h · $544 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢
22°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $1,657 24h · $4,125 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.9¢
23°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 21?
4%
Open · $1,676 24h · $2,473 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.8¢
24°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 21?
90%
Open · $570 24h · $1,744 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90¢
25°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 21?
14%
Open · $2,610 24h · $5,487 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 19¢
26°CWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 21?
2%
Open · $1,871 24h · $2,074 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 2.1¢
27°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on October 21?
<1%
Open · $651 24h · $1,042 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.