Selected outcome
58-59°F
<1%
58-59°F · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
53°F or belowWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on October 21?
No quote
Open · $529 24h · $600 vol
Ask 0.1¢
54-55°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 21?
No quote
Open · $643 24h · $689 vol
Ask 0.1¢
56-57°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 21?
No quote
Open · $527 24h · $583 vol
Ask 0.1¢
58-59°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 21?
<1%
Open · $347 24h · $398 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
60-61°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 21?
1%
Open · $379 24h · $456 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1.1¢
62-63°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 21?
11%
Open · $1,065 24h · $2,000 vol
Bid 8.8¢ · Ask 13.5¢
64-65°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?
46%
Open · $2,295 24h · $4,245 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 48¢
66-67°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 21?
38%
Open · $2,760 24h · $5,766 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 39¢
68-69°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 21?
7%
Open · $1,990 24h · $3,005 vol
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 8.4¢
70-71°FWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 21?
1%
Open · $700 24h · $790 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.7¢
72°F or higherWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $259 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.