Selected outcome
35°C or higher
35°C or higher
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
25°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on October 20?
<1%
Open · $1,159 24h · $9,537 vol
last
Ask 2.9¢
26°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $202 24h · $6,804 vol
last
Ask 1.8¢
27°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $148 24h · $16k vol
last
Ask 1.5¢
28°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $1,155 24h · $19k vol
last
Ask 2.2¢
29°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $596 24h · $15k vol
last
Ask 5.3¢
30°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?
95%
Open · $1,617 24h · $18k vol
last
Bid 94.7¢
31°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $403 24h · $12k vol
last
Ask 0.3¢
32°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $47 24h · $6,078 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
33°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $117 24h · $1,578 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
34°CWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,245 vol
Ask 0.1¢
35°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $171 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.