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Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

26°C

last

<1%

26°C · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 17°C or below

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $5 24h · $170 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 18°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $5 24h · $713 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 19°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $5 24h · $1,254 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 20°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $1,036 24h · $3,949 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 21°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 21?

    97%

    Open · $10k 24h · $15k vol

    Bid 95.2¢ · Ask 99.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 22°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 21?

    3%

    Open · $3,847 24h · $7,200 vol

    Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 4.7¢

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  • 23°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $4,993 24h · $8,345 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢

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  • 24°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $3,382 24h · $4,724 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 25°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $2,308 24h · $3,147 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 26°C

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $120 24h · $865 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 27°C or higher

    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $5 24h · $295 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$26k
Volume
$46k
Liquidity
$18k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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