Selected outcome
30°C
30°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
28°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on October 21?
<1%
Open · $730 24h · $820 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
29°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $603 24h · $1,179 vol
Ask 0.1¢
30°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $474 24h · $1,299 vol
Ask 0.1¢
31°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $2,400 24h · $2,681 vol
Ask 0.1¢
32°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $7,031 24h · $11k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
33°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $7,033 24h · $11k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
34°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?
5%
Open · $9,069 24h · $11k vol
wide spread 5–15%
Bid 4.6¢ · Ask 14.9¢
35°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $5,667 24h · $8,337 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2.7¢
36°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $11k 24h · $12k vol
wide spread 79–92%
Bid 78.8¢ · Ask 91.8¢
37°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $4,358 24h · $4,565 vol
last
Ask 0.5¢
38°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,467 24h · $1,843 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.