Selected outcome
26°C
26°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
25°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on October 22?
No quote
Open · $115 24h · $115 vol
Ask 0.1¢
26°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $200 24h · $202 vol
Ask 0.1¢
27°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $627 24h · $662 vol
Ask 0.1¢
28°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $1,071 24h · $1,086 vol
last
Ask 0.4¢
29°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $1,593 24h · $1,475 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1.3¢
30°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?
20%
Open · $3,851 24h · $4,162 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 21¢
31°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?
45%
Open · $1,495 24h · $2,283 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 46¢
32°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 22?
28%
Open · $2,830 24h · $3,321 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 30¢
33°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 22?
5%
Open · $1,842 24h · $2,184 vol
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 6¢
34°CWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $1,308 24h · $1,466 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 2¢
35°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on October 22?
1%
Open · $1,169 24h · $1,576 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.