Selected outcome
19°C
16%
19°C · 16%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
11°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on October 22?
<1%
Open · $174 24h · $196 vol
last
Ask 0.3¢
12°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $213 24h · $256 vol
last
Ask 0.3¢
13°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $368 24h · $391 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $435 24h · $453 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $399 24h · $399 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1.9¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 22?
6%
Open · $832 24h · $872 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 22?
30%
Open · $2,870 24h · $2,875 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 31¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 22?
48%
Open · $2,638 24h · $2,648 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 49¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 22?
16%
Open · $1,198 24h · $1,198 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $357 24h · $357 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 2¢
21°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on October 22?
<1%
Open · $630 24h · $630 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.