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Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

Open

Selected outcome

September 23

No

September 23 · No

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Sep 18, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • September 18

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 18?

    31%

    Open · $0 24h · $487 vol

    wide spread 11–84%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 84¢

    Open full market view →
  • September 20

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?

    24%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,385 vol

    wide spread 2–32%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
  • September 22

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?

    20%

    Open · $0 24h · $632 vol

    wide spread 11–92%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 92¢

    Open full market view →
  • September 24

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?

    14%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,553 vol

    wide spread 11–79%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 79¢

    Open full market view →
  • September 25

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 25?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $66 vol

    wide spread 1–98%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 97.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • September 26

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 26?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $372 vol

    wide spread 11–89%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 89¢

    Open full market view →
  • September 27

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?

    20%

    Open · $0 24h · $516 vol

    wide spread 11–44%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • September 28

    Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 28?

    16%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,424 vol

    wide spread 11–82%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →

Resolved

Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$123k
Liquidity
$297
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Sep 18, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia on the specified date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Saudi Arabia. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Saudi Arabia do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Saudi Arabia” refers to the terrestrial territory of Saudi Arabia, including its internal waters. Saudi Arabia’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Saudi Arabia as of market creation will qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and a consensus of credible reporting.

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