Selected outcome
5.5%
25%
5.5% · 25%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
5.5%Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $207k vol
Bid 24.8¢ · Ask 25.9¢
5.7%Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
14%
Open · $266 24h · $106k vol
Bid 13.7¢ · Ask 14.9¢
6.0%Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $100k vol
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 6.5¢
5.4%Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
39%
Open · $222 24h · $71k vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 39¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).