Selected outcome
5.65%
3%
5.65% · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
4.90%Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?
79%
Open · $120 24h · $3,779 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 79¢
- 5.00%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
43%
Open · $102 24h · $1,644 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 44¢
- 5.10%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
36%
Open · $60 24h · $2,333 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 37¢
- 5.20%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $1,413 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 19¢
- 5.30%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?
10%
Open · $150 24h · $3,217 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 12¢
- 5.40%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?
2%
Open · $7 24h · $2,807 vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 2.2¢
- 5.50%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
4%
Open · $185 24h · $4,635 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
- 5.65%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $1,106 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).