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How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

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Selected outcome

5.10%

8%

5.10% · 8%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • 4.86%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?

    45%

    Open · $22 24h · $1,534 vol

    wide spread 32–71%

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 71¢

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  • 4.89%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?

    38%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,476 vol

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 43¢

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  • 4.92%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?

    31%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,288 vol

    Bid 27¢ · Ask 34¢

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  • 4.95%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?

    19%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,582 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 22¢

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  • 5.00%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?

    12%

    Open · $11 24h · $1,913 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • 5.05%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?

    9%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,400 vol

    Bid 5.9¢ · Ask 12¢

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  • 5.10%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?

    8%

    Open · $11 24h · $995 vol

    Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 8.9¢

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  • 5.15%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,527 vol

    Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 11.1¢

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  • 5.25%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,606 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 1.3¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$44
Volume
$15k
Liquidity
$2,452
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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