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How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?

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Selected outcome

5.20%

7%

5.20% · 7%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • 5.08%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?

    34%

    Open · $100 24h · $2,759 vol

    wide spread 24–36%

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢

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  • 5.11%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?

    24%

    Open · $36 24h · $2,685 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 26¢

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  • 5.14%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?

    26%

    Open · $80 24h · $2,182 vol

    wide spread 15–26%

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢

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  • 5.17%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?

    13%

    Open · $47 24h · $1,720 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 15¢

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  • 5.20%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in October?

    7%

    Open · $66 24h · $3,156 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • 5.25%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?

    7%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,843 vol

    Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 9.4¢

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  • 5.30%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in October?

    6%

    Open · $5 24h · $2,002 vol

    Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 8.9¢

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  • 5.35%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?

    3%

    Open · $9 24h · $1,574 vol

    Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 4.8¢

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  • 5.45%

    Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $50 vol

    Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 8.9¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$343
Volume
$19k
Liquidity
$2,334
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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