← Polymarket

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Open

Selected outcome

Below 3.9%

3%

Below 3.9% · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 30, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Below 3.5%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $44k vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 3.0%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $7,964 vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 2.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 2.0%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,113 vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 1.0%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $41k vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 3.6%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $12k vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 3.7%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

    1%

    Open · $109 24h · $38k vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 1.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 3.8%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $65k vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 3.9%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $57k vol

    Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 4.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.6%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?

    14%

    Open · $0 24h · $29k vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.7%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?

    26%

    Open · $32 24h · $18k vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.1%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $13k vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 4.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.4%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $24k vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.2%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,732 vol

    Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 3.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.5%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?

    8%

    Open · $1,116 24h · $21k vol

    Bid 7.1¢ · Ask 8.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.3%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,033 vol

    Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 3.9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$1,257
Volume
$416k
Liquidity
$62k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 30, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

View on Polymarket