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How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

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Below 4.10%

8%

Below 4.10% · 8%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

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Markets

  • Below 4.70%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?

    84%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,526 vol

    Bid 82¢ · Ask 85¢

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  • Below 4.60%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?

    72%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,411 vol

    Bid 71¢ · Ask 72¢

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  • Below 4.50%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?

    47%

    Open · $180 24h · $3,156 vol

    wide spread 39–71%

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 71¢

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  • Below 4.40%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?

    33%

    Open · $160 24h · $2,027 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 35¢

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  • Below 4.30%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?

    23%

    Open · $80 24h · $621 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 25¢

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  • Below 4.20%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?

    16%

    Open · $0 24h · $549 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 17¢

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  • Below 4.10%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?

    8%

    Open · $21 24h · $1,699 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢

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  • Below 4.00%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?

    7%

    Open · $0 24h · $676 vol

    Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 8.9¢

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  • Below 3.90%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 3.90% before 2027?

    5%

    Open · $21 24h · $321 vol

    Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 6.3¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$462
Volume
$17k
Liquidity
$5,051
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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