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How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

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Below 4.90%

8%

Below 4.90% · 8%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 30, 2026 ET

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Markets

  • Below 4.60%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $14k vol

    Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 3.9¢

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  • Below 4.80%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?

    5%

    Open · $1,342 24h · $8,700 vol

    Bid 4.5¢ · Ask 5.3¢

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  • Below 4.90%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?

    8%

    Open · $0 24h · $10k vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • Below 4.95%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?

    12%

    Open · $22 24h · $11k vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢

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  • Below 5.00%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?

    12%

    Open · $278 24h · $14k vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢

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  • Below 5.05%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?

    14%

    Open · $20 24h · $15k vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 15¢

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  • Below 5.10%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?

    20%

    Open · $320 24h · $18k vol

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢

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  • Below 5.15%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?

    22%

    Open · $166 24h · $16k vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 23¢

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  • Below 5.20%

    Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?

    40%

    Open · $1,725 24h · $20k vol

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 40¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$3,874
Volume
$127k
Liquidity
$42k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 30, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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