Selected outcome
Below 5.40%
wide spread 46–96%
67%
Below 5.40% · 67%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Below 5.40%Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?
67%
Open · $103 24h · $2,101 vol
wide spread 46–96%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 96¢
- Below 5.35%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?
40%
Open · $139 24h · $2,059 vol
wide spread 20–42%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 42¢
- Below 5.30%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $1,330 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 19¢
- Below 5.25%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $1,208 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 15¢
Resolved
- Below 5.55%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,108 vol
- Below 5.52%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.52% in October?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,721 vol
- Below 5.49%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.49% in October?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $4,605 vol
- Below 5.46%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.46% in October?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $3,782 vol
- Below 5.43%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?
Yes
Settled · yes · $424 24h · $1,957 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).