Selected outcome
12-15
81%
12-15 · 81%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<12Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $42k vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- 12-15
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
81%
Open · $719 24h · $62k vol
Bid 80.4¢ · Ask 81.4¢
- 16-19
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
11%
Open · $162 24h · $47k vol
Bid 10.6¢ · Ask 11.5¢
- 20-23
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $24k vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 2.9¢
- 24-27
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $19k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.1¢
- 28-31
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?
<1%
Open · $50 24h · $9,285 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
- 32+
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $6,891 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.