Selected outcome
800-900k
1%
800-900k · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- 400-500k
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
55%
Open · $0 24h · $9,678 vol
wide spread 55–77%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 77¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.