Selected outcome
15
wide spread 1–37%
5%
15 · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- spacex.com (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<14Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?
95%
Open · $61 24h · $1,141 vol
Bid 91.7¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- 14
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in October 2026?
5%
Open · $35 24h · $150 vol
wide spread 1–36%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 35.9¢
- 15
Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026?
5%
Open · $31 24h · $153 vol
wide spread 1–37%
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 36.6¢
- 16
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026?
6%
Open · $13 24h · $128 vol
wide spread <1–36%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 36.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.