Selected outcome
3.7-3.9%
No
3.7-3.9% · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 7:59 AM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
≤2.7%Will UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?
No
Settled · no · $156 24h · $1,575 vol
2.8-3%Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?
No
Settled · no · $202 24h · $3,641 vol
3.1-3.3%Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?
No
Settled · no · $189 24h · $8,445 vol
3.4-3.6%Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?
Yes
Settled · yes · $795 24h · $10k vol
3.7-3.9%Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?
No
Settled · no · $643 24h · $4,620 vol
4.0%+Will UK annual inflation be at least 4.0% in September?
No
Settled · no · $40 24h · $704 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 7:59 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.