Selected outcome
9%+
4%
9%+ · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- bechirot.gov.il (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<6%Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
42%
Open · $67 24h · $2,590 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 43¢
6-7%Will Shas win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
No quote
Open · $20 24h · $2,027 vol
wide spread 20–48%
Bid 19.6¢ · Ask 47.5¢
7-8%Will Shas win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
14%
Open · $10 24h · $1,045 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 18¢
8-9%Will Shas win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $810 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 8.2¢
9%+Will Shas win 9% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $913 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 7.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).