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Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

8-9%

wide spread 25–50%

28%

8-9% · 28%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
Resolution source
bechirot.gov.il (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • <6%

    Will The Democrats win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    22%

    Open · $196 24h · $722 vol

    wide spread 5–22%

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 22¢

    Open full market view →
  • 6-7%

    Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    18%

    Open · $52 24h · $517 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • 7-8%

    Will The Democrats win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    28%

    Open · $126 24h · $1,093 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • 8-9%

    Will The Democrats win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    28%

    Open · $515 24h · $1,025 vol

    wide spread 25–50%

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • 9%+

    Will The Democrats win 9% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    8%

    Open · $57 24h · $580 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$946
Volume
$3,938
Liquidity
$2,483
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).

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