Selected outcome
<5%
10%
<5% · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- bechirot.gov.il (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<5%Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
10%
Open · $662 24h · $2,538 vol
Bid 8.8¢ · Ask 11.8¢
5-6%Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
40%
Open · $400 24h · $9,321 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 42¢
6-7%Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
49%
Open · $185 24h · $2,215 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 49¢
7-8%Will United Torah Judaism win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
1%
Open · $173 24h · $1,127 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2¢
8%+Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
2%
Open · $73 24h · $764 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 2.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).