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Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

7-8%

wide spread 12–23%

7-8%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
Resolution source
bechirot.gov.il (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • <5%

    Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    15%

    Open · $10 24h · $21k vol

    Bid 13.5¢ · Ask 16.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5-6%

    Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    No quote

    Open · $96 24h · $918 vol

    wide spread 8–25%

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • 6-7%

    Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    28%

    Open · $44 24h · $1,072 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • 7-8%

    Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    No quote

    Open · $103 24h · $778 vol

    wide spread 12–23%

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • 8%+

    Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $266 vol

    wide spread 2–13%

    Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 13.4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$254
Volume
$24k
Liquidity
$14k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).

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