Selected outcome
7-8%
wide spread 12–23%
7-8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- bechirot.gov.il (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<5%Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
15%
Open · $10 24h · $21k vol
Bid 13.5¢ · Ask 16.8¢
5-6%Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
No quote
Open · $96 24h · $918 vol
wide spread 8–25%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 25¢
6-7%Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
28%
Open · $44 24h · $1,072 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 31¢
7-8%Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
No quote
Open · $103 24h · $778 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
8%+Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $266 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 13.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).