Selected outcome
December 31
6%
December 31 · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $11k vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
January 31Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by January 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.