Selected outcome
October 31
1%
October 31 · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
8%
Open · $86 24h · $534k vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢
- October 31
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $10k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.7¢
- March 31
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $136 vol
wide spread 11–28%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 28¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.