Selected outcome
<2.0%
1%
<2.0% · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 31, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
<2.0%Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,395 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.8¢
- 2.0-2.2%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,726 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.7¢
- 2.2-2.4%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $1,742 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10.4¢
- 2.4-2.6%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $4,636 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.7¢
- 2.6-2.8%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $2,780 vol
Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- 2.8-3.0%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
20%
Open · $0 24h · $10k vol
wide spread 2–41%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 41.2¢
- 3.0%+
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
48%
Open · $41 24h · $20k vol
Bid 47.1¢ · Ask 49.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.