Selected outcome
28°C
<1%
28°C · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
19°C or belowWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 22?
<1%
Open · $1,139 24h · $1,147 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
20°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $726 24h · $726 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.7¢
21°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $681 24h · $681 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
22°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $686 24h · $686 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
23°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 22?
2%
Open · $1,014 24h · $1,077 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 3.4¢
24°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?
9%
Open · $2,229 24h · $2,278 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
25°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 22?
56%
Open · $4,498 24h · $4,506 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 57¢
26°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?
36%
Open · $2,911 24h · $2,926 vol
wide spread 22–39%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 39¢
27°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 22?
5%
Open · $3,099 24h · $3,099 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7.1¢
28°CWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $5,814 24h · $5,392 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
29°C or higherWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on October 22?
<1%
Open · $155 24h · $155 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.