Selected outcome
11°C
11°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
4°C or belowWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?
84%
Open · $1,458 24h · $5,547 vol
wide spread 70–88%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 87.8¢
5°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 26¢
6°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 6°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 18¢
7°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 21¢
8°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 8°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 26¢
9°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 36¢
10°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 35¢
11°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 44¢
12°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $9 24h · $27 vol
Ask 46¢
13°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $19 24h · $19 vol
Ask 46¢
14°C or higherWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or higher on October 20?
No quote
Open · $897 24h · $925 vol
wide spread 3–30%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 30¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.