← Polymarket

Lowest temperature in NYC on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

52-53°F

52-53°F

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 41°F or below

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $105 24h · $105 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 42-43°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 21?

    2%

    Open · $10 24h · $10 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 44-45°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 21?

    2%

    Open · $118 24h · $138 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 46-47°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $10 24h · $10 vol

    Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • 48-49°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21?

    6%

    Open · $257 24h · $659 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • 50-51°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 21?

    94%

    Open · $488 24h · $967 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • 52-53°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $420 24h · $464 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 54-55°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $194 24h · $205 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 56-57°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $580 24h · $580 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 58-59°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $60 24h · $60 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 60°F or higher

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $60 24h · $81 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$2,303
Volume
$3,279
Liquidity
$5,755
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

View on Polymarket