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Lowest temperature in NYC on October 23?

Openone winnerNo trades

Selected outcome

44-45°F

wide spread 1–23%

44-45°F

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 23, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
aviationweather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 37°F or below

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 87¢

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  • 38-39°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 67¢

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  • 40-41°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 55¢

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  • 42-43°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 67¢

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  • 44-45°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–23%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 23¢

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  • 46-47°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 3–45%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 45¢

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  • 48-49°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 3–61%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 61¢

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  • 50-51°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–20%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 20¢

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  • 52-53°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 66¢

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  • 54-55°F

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 23?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • 56°F or higher

    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on October 23?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 82¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4,922
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 23, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on 23 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Fahrenheit. The qualifying value is converted using °F = °C × 9/5 + 32 and rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Fahrenheit value determines which range contains it. For example, 18.3°C is 64.94°F and counts as 65°F; 17.8°C is 64.04°F and counts as 64°F; 19°C is 66.2°F and counts as 66°F; −22.5°C is exactly −8.5°F and counts as −8°F. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date. This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date. In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that neither source has published data sufficient to determine a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR). Changes to observations within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. Where the first routine observation for the following date is published before that deadline, resolution is determined from a read taken after it. Where it is not, resolution is determined from a read taken at that deadline. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected valu

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