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Lowest temperature in Paris on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

6°C

1%

6°C · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 2°C or below

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $73 24h · $215 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.1¢

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  • 3°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $33 24h · $108 vol

    Ask 1.2¢

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  • 4°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $44 24h · $147 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢

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  • 5°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 21?

    4%

    Open · $33 24h · $91 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 8.7¢

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  • 6°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $72 24h · $191 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.9¢

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  • 7°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $109 24h · $574 vol

    Ask 22¢

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  • 8°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $285 24h · $862 vol

    wide spread 88–99%

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢

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  • 9°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $967 24h · $1,590 vol

    wide spread 1–12%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 11.9¢

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  • 10°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $43 24h · $243 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢

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  • 11°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $33 24h · $188 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.7¢

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  • 12°C or higher

    Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $67 24h · $210 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.9¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1,759
Volume
$4,418
Liquidity
$5,690
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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