Selected outcome
10°C
wide spread 5–15%
7%
10°C · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
3°C or belowWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C or below on October 22?
1%
Open · $62 24h · $62 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.3¢
4°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $62 24h · $62 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.7¢
5°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $62 24h · $62 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.5¢
6°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $100 24h · $132 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
7°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 22?
6%
Open · $172 24h · $192 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 7¢
8°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 22?
31%
Open · $580 24h · $863 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 33¢
9°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 22?
54%
Open · $361 24h · $361 vol
Bid 52¢ · Ask 56¢
10°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 22?
7%
Open · $101 24h · $101 vol
wide spread 5–15%
Bid 4.8¢ · Ask 15¢
11°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 22?
4%
Open · $62 24h · $62 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 8.4¢
12°CWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 22?
2%
Open · $62 24h · $80 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 4.2¢
13°C or higherWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on October 22?
1%
Open · $62 24h · $122 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.