← Polymarket

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 22?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

21°C

<1%

21°C · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 13°C or below

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • 14°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 22?

    13%

    Open · $70 24h · $70 vol

    wide spread <1–13%

    Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 12.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • 15°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 22?

    19%

    Open · $241 24h · $241 vol

    wide spread 19–56%

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 56¢

    Open full market view →
  • 16°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $552 24h · $552 vol

    wide spread 33–50%

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • 17°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 22?

    3%

    Open · $3,755 24h · $3,755 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • 18°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 22?

    1%

    Open · $121 24h · $168 vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 19°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $101 24h · $101 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • 20°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $40 24h · $40 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • 21°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $62 24h · $62 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • 22°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $40 24h · $40 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • 23°C or higher

    Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $15 24h · $15 vol

    Ask 0.7¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$4,998
Volume
$5,046
Liquidity
$4,124
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

View on Polymarket