Selected outcome
17°C or higher
1%
17°C or higher · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
7°C or belowWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $279 vol
Ask 45.9¢
8°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $24 vol
wide spread <1–67%
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 67¢
9°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 79¢
10°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $24 24h · $24 vol
Ask 93¢
11°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $38 24h · $38 vol
Ask 94¢
12°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 21?
98%
Open · $151 24h · $174 vol
last
Bid 50¢
13°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $201 24h · $284 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
14°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $105 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
15°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $1 24h · $26 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
16°CWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $1 24h · $821 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
17°C or higherWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on October 21?
1%
Open · $1 24h · $194 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.