Selected outcome
October 21
95%
October 21 · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 5:59 PM ET
Price
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Markets
October 21Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?
95%
Open · $7,262 24h · $12k vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 97.3¢
October 24Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?
96%
Open · $5,307 24h · $6,973 vol
Bid 95.1¢ · Ask 97.7¢
October 31Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 31?
97%
Open · $335 24h · $1,316 vol
Bid 95.4¢ · Ask 97.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 5:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Marseille time), passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect in any part of the City of Marseille, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Marseille time on that day, a ban on public gatherings is in effect in any part of the City of Marseille. The City of Marseille refers to the municipality (commune) of Marseille, within its official municipal boundaries. A ban on public gatherings refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits gatherings or demonstrations in public spaces in the City of Marseille, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A ban of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Marseille, and must be officially declared by the City of Marseille, the Bouches-du-Rhône Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police des Bouches-du-Rhône), or a French national authority. A broader ban (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Marseille. Orders that prohibit or restrict only one or more specific, identified demonstrations, marches, or events (rather than gatherings or demonstrations generally) will not be considered bans on public gatherings for the purposes of this market, including where such an order applies across a defined area or the entire city. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, and conditional or prospective statements that a ban may be imposed will not be considered bans on public gatherings for the purposes of this market. Closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not be considered bans on public gatherings unless they also impose a ban as defined above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.