Selected outcome
4200+
Yes
4200+ · Yes
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- cdc.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
4700+Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
97%
Open · $0 24h · $4,388 vol
Bid 95.3¢ · Ask 99.5¢
- 4500+
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5,527 vol
Bid 99.9¢
- 4800+
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
97%
Open · $40 24h · $4,931 vol
Bid 95.3¢ · Ask 99.5¢
- 4900+
Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
41%
Open · $24 24h · $5,953 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 41¢
Resolved
- 3900+
Will there be at least 3900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $1,218 vol
- 4000+
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $1,287 vol
- 4100+
Will there be at least 4100 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $211 vol
- 4200+
Will there be at least 4200 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $1,453 vol
- 4300+
Will there be at least 4300 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,971 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.