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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

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Selected outcome

↑5k

98%

↑5k · 98%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • ↑4.5k

    Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    >99%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,340 vol

    last

    Bid 98.1¢

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  • ↑5k

    Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    98%

    Open · $97 24h · $339k vol

    Bid 96.8¢ · Ask 99.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑10k

    Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    7%

    Open · $16 24h · $6.5M vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 7.3¢

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  • ↑4.75k

    Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    97%

    Open · $0 24h · $65k vol

    Bid 94.4¢ · Ask 99.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑6k

    Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    91%

    Open · $207 24h · $20k vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 94¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑7k

    Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    63%

    Open · $206 24h · $1,836 vol

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 65¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑5.5k

    Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    90%

    Open · $303 24h · $2,377 vol

    Bid 89¢ · Ask 91.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑6.5k

    Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    No quote

    Open · $823 24h · $59k vol

    wide spread 77–89%

    Bid 77¢ · Ask 89¢

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  • ↑7.5k

    Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    25%

    Open · $457 24h · $218k vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑12.5k

    Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $359k vol

    Bid 5.4¢ · Ask 6.5¢

    Open full market view →

Resolved

  • ↑4k

    Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

    Yes

    Settled · yes · $0 24h · $249k vol

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$2,108
Volume
$8.2M
Liquidity
$19k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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