Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
11%
December 31, 2026 · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31, 2026Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
11%
Open · $2 24h · $4,785 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 12¢
October 31, 2026Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,928 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.