Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
9%
December 31, 2026 · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
December 31, 2026
Loading price history.
Markets
December 31, 2026Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
9%
Open · $348 24h · $16k vol
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 10.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.