Selected outcome
NATO article 5 before 2027?
4%
NATO article 5 before 2027? · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
NATO article 5 before 2027?
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Markets
Open · $1,231 24h · $299k vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 4.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.