Selected outcome
Party E
Party E
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Mar 27, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
LaborWill Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $1,591 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 14¢
Liberal–NationalWill Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
42%
Open · $20 24h · $1,488 vol
wide spread 27–51%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 51¢
GreensWill Greens win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
5%
Open · $21 24h · $601 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 7.8¢
One NationWill One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
26%
Open · $140 24h · $443 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 30¢
Party AWill Party A win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party B
Will Party B win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party C
Will Party C win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party D
Will Party D win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party E
Will Party E win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party F
Will Party F win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party G
Will Party G win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party H
Will Party H win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party I
Will Party I win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Party J
Will Party J win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will another party win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Mar 27, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).